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Despite the increasing number of models to predict infection risk for a range of diseases, the assessment of their spatial limits, predictive performance and practical application are not widely undertaken. Using the example of Schistosoma haematobium in Africa, this article illustrates how ecozonation and receiver-operator characteristic analysis can help to assess the usefulness of available models objectively.


Journal article


Trends Parasitol

Publication Date





70 - 74


Africa, Animals, Climate, Communicable Diseases, Ecology, Humans, Mass Screening, Models, Biological, Predictive Value of Tests, ROC Curve, Reproducibility of Results, Risk Factors, Schistosoma haematobium, Schistosomiasis haematobia, Schistosomicides