Variable importance and scale of influence across individual scottish wildcat hybrid habitat models
Cushman SA., Kilshaw K., Kaszta Z., Campbell RD., Gaywood M., Macdonald DW.
Understanding the scale dependence of species-habitat relationships is an important area of research in species distribution modeling. There has been little research focused on how habitat selection may depend on individual variation among organisms, geographical location and ecological context of that location. Furthermore, little is known about the extent and drivers of heterogeneity of scale dependence among individuals of a species inhabiting different ecological contexts, and few studies have compared scale dependence and variable importance in a spatially replicated framework. Two of the most important factors for interpreting habitat relationships models include: (1) the relative importance of variables in the model and (2) the spatial scale at which each variable has the largest influence. Based on the existing evidence we hypothesize a priori that landcover variables will generally be the most important predictors, followed by topography, then soil type (which influence both vegetation and prey), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) as an indicator of total vegetation density and perhaps a proxy for prey density, vegetation cover and rabbit abundance. We also expected a priori that there would be consistent patterns of scale dependence across individual wildcat hybrid models related to different variable groups. We expected topographical features to be selected at broad scales, as they influence broad-scale climatic and ecological conditions. We also expected that land cover classes and vegetation cover density to be selected at relatively broad scales given past research showing land cover generally influences habitat selection at relatively broad scales. We expected NDVI and soil type to be selected at finer scales, as their variation influences the distribution of resources and limiting conditions within landscapes. Finally, we expected that rabbit abundance and linear features would affect wildcat hybrid occurrence at the finest scales, given these are resources and conditions that vary over short distances and strongly influence wildcat and wildcat hybrid behavior and habitat use. Our results were consistent with the hypothesis that there may be consistency regarding which variables or variable groups are most important as predictors of wildcat hybrid occurrence in Scotland. Based on previous research we expected that there would be consistent patterns of scale dependence across individual wildcat hybrid models related to different variable groups. Finally, our results identify a clear and consistent trend of increasing frequency of inclusion of variables at increasingly broad scales. This is a linear trend in frequency of variables retained increasing as the scale increased. This suggests a consistent and monotonic pattern of more frequent retention of variables at increasingly broad scales.